Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.082432 0.096390 0.111948 0.130572 0.152257 0.176711 0.206385
2026-01-25 0.061122 0.078392 0.099441 0.126967 0.162015 0.205158 0.262330
2026-02-01 0.046108 0.064192 0.088045 0.121783 0.168269 0.230089 0.318623
2026-02-08 0.036492 0.054732 0.080580 0.119828 0.177911 0.260732 0.387942
2026-02-15 0.029125 0.046769 0.073470 0.116736 0.185080 0.288932 0.458958
2026-02-22 0.024523 0.041931 0.069909 0.118031 0.198726 0.328690 0.554248
2026-03-01 0.020570 0.037283 0.065690 0.117325 0.208838 0.364372 0.649255
2026-03-08 0.016938 0.032423 0.060156 0.113240 0.212310 0.389351 0.730336
2026-03-15 0.014500 0.029210 0.056874 0.112448 0.221288 0.425093 0.836438
2026-03-22 0.013053 0.027585 0.056195 0.116326 0.239518 0.480492 0.988574
2026-03-29 0.011897 0.026307 0.055932 0.120911 0.259821 0.542957 1.165026
2026-04-05 0.010778 0.024884 0.055104 0.124140 0.277816 0.603537 1.347708
2026-04-12 0.009471 0.022887 0.052910 0.124506 0.290833 0.658204 1.532843
2026-04-19 0.008048 0.020343 0.049058 0.120487 0.293526 0.691483 1.677986
2026-04-26 0.006780 0.017905 0.044994 0.115205 0.292367 0.716124 1.808612
2026-05-03 0.005893 0.016234 0.042446 0.113125 0.298602 0.759310 1.992678
2026-05-10 0.005093 0.014617 0.039720 0.110059 0.301794 0.795784 2.167407
2026-05-17 0.004593 0.013711 0.038660 0.111186 0.316206 0.863216 2.435971
2026-05-24 0.004085 0.012673 0.037040 0.110459 0.325485 0.919023 2.684402
2026-05-31 0.003536 0.011391 0.034490 0.106572 0.325129 0.948807 2.866365
2026-06-07 0.003163 0.010564 0.033089 0.105802 0.333747 1.005344 3.137103
2026-06-14 0.002959 0.010235 0.033123 0.109436 0.356435 1.106779 3.562226
2026-06-21 0.002790 0.009984 0.033347 0.113741 0.382139 1.222046 4.053041